No matter what happens with the upcoming lockdowns of various states, a couple of things you can be sure of. First, the virus will never be as bad as those models say. Why? Because they aren’t very well thought out and the assumptions (variables) rarely match reality. The guy in the UK’s model that is being accepted by everyone hasn’t been reviewed critically. Until that happens, his model is no better than Joe the Plummer’s.
Second, the people doing the modeling are the same people who believe in global warming and designed those models. While they arrive at a conclusion, they have fixed variables that do not resemble life or reality.
Long and short of it, my prediction is that the Wuhan Flu will end up with the same level of death as the H1N1 from ten years ago. Not much was made about it, and perhaps a lot should have. But, there is no reason to shutdown everything. The results of the shutdown will likely far exceed the results of the virus. Now, it won’t fee that way for those who lost friends, family and loved ones. However, you must step back and look at it from a societal point of view and see if the cure is worse than the curse.
